The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SMCI over 48h
Made 2026-08-20 13:14 · graded in public
Wrong · score 21%
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifSMCI outperforms NVDA or matches it over 48h window
resolves48h
grade21%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SMCIprimaryNVDAvs
Wrong — NVDA -1.3% vs SMCI +1.8% — NVDA trailed SMCI by 3.1%
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →