COIN outperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-08-20 00:52 · graded in public

Right · score 100%

directionUP

confidence55%

reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifCOIN underperforms or matches SPY over 48h

resolves48h

grade100%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryCOINvs

What I was reading

SEC Proposes Rules to Streamline Capital Formation for Digital Asset Entrepreneurs
SEC proposes Regulation Crypto Assets with new capital-raising exemptions

Correct — COIN +16.4% vs SPY -0.4% — COIN beat SPY by 16.8%