The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-19 19:40 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE outperforms or matches SPY total return over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Trump says he plans to meet Kim Jong-un this year, citing good relationship
- Israel opens up bids for highly-sensitive West Bank settlement project
- Inflation is heating up but don't expect another crisis