The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-19 15:24 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY performance over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
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