The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-18 19:20 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryXLEvs
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