The call FLAT
META closes flat (within ±0.5%) over 48h, as trial opening is priced in and near-term discovery motions do not resolve the core liability.
Made 2026-08-18 18:20 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionFLAT
confidence51%
reasoning80% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA moves >1.5% on trial-related news, sentiment shift, or a surprise ruling
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
METAprimary