The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-18 14:19 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMSFTvs