The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-18 09:19 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade80%
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- US-Canada trade talks 'intense' as new tariff deadline looms
- 30-year US Treasury yield hits highest level since 2007
- Oil Extends Gains as Middle East Conflict Drags On, Brent Reclaims $90 Level
Correct — XLE +1.6% vs SPY -0.5% — XLE beat SPY by 2.1%