The call ▼ DOWN
USO closes flat-to-down over 48h
Made 2026-08-18 07:19 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifUSO closes up more than +1.5% over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
USOprimary
What I was reading
- Asian Refiners Ask to Pick Up Saudi Oil Outside Risky Red Sea
- Vessel hit by ‘unknown projectile’ in Strait of Hormuz, UKMTO says