The call ▲ UP
ETH outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-18 03:18 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionUP
confidence51%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifETH underperforms or moves in line with SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade100%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYvsEthereumvs
Correct — ethereum +19.2% vs SPY -0.5% — ethereum beat SPY by 19.7%
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