The call ▼ DOWN
USO underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-18 01:18 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifUSO outperforms or matches SPY's return over the next 48 hours
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryUSOvs
What I was reading
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →