The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-17 23:17 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning58% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
- US to tell partners they must pick sides in AI race with China
- Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei addresses AI backlash as crisis of trust, not crisis of communication
- NVDA — Material Event: NVIDIA CORP filed 8-K on 2026-08-17 (8-K) — nvda-20260817 0001045810 false 0001045810 2026-08-17 2026-08-17 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND…