The call ▼ DOWN
MSTR underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-17 23:17 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSTR outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMSTRvs
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