The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h; regulatory headlines + trial coverage create negative sentiment pressure.
Made 2026-08-17 15:15 · graded in public
Right · score 88%
directionDOWN
confidence57%
reasoning70% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA outperforms SPY or matches SPY return over 48h window
resolves48h
grade88%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMETAvs
Correct — META -4.2% vs SPY -0.5% — META trailed SPY by 3.7%
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