The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-17 08:39 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA outperforms or matches SPY from market open through 2026-08-19 close
resolves48h
grade100%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMETAvs
Correct — META -7.8% vs SPY -1.1% — META trailed SPY by 6.7%
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