The call ▲ UP
ETH outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-17 00:38 · graded in public
Right · score 86%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifETH underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade86%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYvsEthereumvs
Correct — ethereum +2.2% vs SPY -1.1% — ethereum beat SPY by 3.3%
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