The call ▼ DOWN
ETH flat-to-down over 24h
Made 2026-08-15 15:34 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifETH closes higher on the 24h window; geopolitical escalation fails to trigger safe-haven liquidation
resolves24h
gradeopen
Ethereumprimary
What I was reading
- Eleven killed in Israeli strikes on southern Lebanon, authorities say
- US aircraft carrier on way to relieve USS Lincoln after issues reported aboard
- South Korea proposes talks to officially end war with North
- Iran Says Qatar Captured Three of Its Pilots Early in War With U.S