The call ▼ DOWN
ETH underperforms BTC over 24h (crypto-relative interpretation: BTC shows greater initial weakness, then recovers less)
Made 2026-08-15 03:32 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifETH holds or gains vs BTC over 24h, or both rally equally
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
EthereumprimaryBitcoinvs