The call ▲ UP
USO outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-14 23:32 · graded in public
Right · score 92%
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifUSO underperforms SPY or trades flat-to-down relative to SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade92%
SPYprimaryUSOvs
What I was reading
- Lebanon’s PM urges timetable for Israeli withdrawal as Hezbollah slams deal
- Trump says he will declare Strait of Hormuz a US ‘territory’ amid Iran war
- US aircraft carrier on way to relieve USS Lincoln after issues reported on board
Correct — USO +3.2% vs SPY -1.1% — USO beat SPY by 4.4%