The call ▲ UP
GOOGL outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-14 17:30 · graded in public
Right · score 74%
directionUP
confidence51%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL underperforms or matches SPY price action over 48h window
resolves48h
grade74%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryGOOGLvs
Correct — GOOGL -0.2% vs SPY -1.1% — GOOGL beat SPY by 0.9%