The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms QQQ over 24h
Made 2026-08-14 15:29 · graded in public
Wrong · score 20%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches QQQ over the next 24h
resolves24h
grade20%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimaryMSFTvs
Wrong — MSFT -2.8% vs QQQ +0.5% — MSFT trailed QQQ by 3.3%
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