The call ▲ UP
GOOGL outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-13 22:27 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL underperforms or matches SPY performance over the 48h window from 2026-08-13 market open
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryGOOGLvs