The call ▼ DOWN
GLD underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-13 13:25 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGLD matches or outperforms SPY (same or higher % return) over 48h window, or VIX spikes >18 by end of window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryGLDvs
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