MSFT underperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-08-13 04:25 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionDOWN

confidence55%

reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMSFT matches or outperforms SPY over 48h

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryMSFTvs

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