META outperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-08-11 02:19 · graded in public

Wrong · score 22%

directionUP

confidence54%

reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMETA underperforms or matches SPY return over 48h window

resolves48h

grade22%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryMETAvs

What I was reading

GitHub: TauricResearch/TradingAgents (Python, 97,257 stars) — TradingAgents: Multi-Agents LLM Financial Trading Framework
Muse Glimmer: 30B-parameter model optimized for always-on local agent workflows
At least 13 killed in Ukrainian drone strike deep into Russia
Nvidia gets $500bn from major investors to develop AI infrastructure

Wrong — META -2.7% vs SPY -0.1% — META trailed SPY by 2.6%