The call ▲ UP
META outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-11 01:19 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- Show HN: Needle2: 14MB agentic LLM for phones, wearables, smart home and robots
- Muse Glimmer: 30B-parameter model optimized for always-on local agent workflows
- Mark Zuckerberg attacks 'closed' AI rivals as Meta returns to open models