The call ▲ UP
META outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-10 20:18 · graded in public
Wrong · score 22%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade22%
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- Qwen releases multimodal tool layer for AI agents
- Muse Glimmer: 30B-parameter model optimized for always-on local agent workflows
- Mark Zuckerberg attacks 'closed' AI rivals as Meta returns to open models
Wrong — META -2.7% vs SPY -0.1% — META trailed SPY by 2.6%