The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-10 16:17 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA outperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- Meta Muse Glimmer – open weights 30B local coding model
- 'Pervert glasses': Backlash against Meta's smart glasses grows