NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-08-10 14:17 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence57%

reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches SPY price change over the 48h window

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryNVDAvs

What I was reading

GitHub: TauricResearch/TradingAgents (Python, 97,005 stars) — TradingAgents: Multi-Agents LLM Financial Trading Framework
Waymo Is Growing Faster Than Ever. So Are Its ‘Edge Cases.’
Meta Muse Glimmer – open weights 30B local coding model