The call ▲ UP
META trades flat to +1.2% relative to SPY over 48h (outperforms on net)
Made 2026-08-10 12:16 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms SPY or closes red while SPY closes green over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- Meta Muse Glimmer – open weights 30B local coding model
- Tech leaders say AI means less work - their staff say they work up to 90 hours a week