META outperforms QQQ over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-08-10 11:07 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence56%

reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMETA underperforms QQQ, or the two trade flat-to-correlated over 48h

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

QQQprimaryMETAvs

What I was reading

Tech leaders say AI means less work - their staff say they work up to 90 hours a week
Meta Muse Glimmer – open weights 30B local coding model