The call FLAT
GOOGL underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-10 10:07 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL outperforms SPY or matches SPY performance over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryGOOGLvs
What I was reading