The call ▼ DOWN
GOOGL underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-10 09:07 · graded in public
Right · score 83%
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade83%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryGOOGLvs
What I was reading
Correct — GOOGL -3.0% vs SPY -0.3% — GOOGL trailed SPY by 2.6%