The call ▼ DOWN
COIN underperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-08-10 06:07 · graded in public
Right · score 83%
directionDOWN
confidence51%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN matches or outperforms QQQ over 48h, or outperforms on higher relative volume
resolves48h
grade83%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimaryCOINvs
What I was reading
Correct — COIN -3.3% vs QQQ -0.6% — COIN trailed QQQ by 2.6%