The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-10 05:07 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade100%
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Oil prices climb as Iranian demands cloud outlook for Strait of Hormuz
- Iran, Holding Firm to Hormuz, Pushes for Return to June MOU
- Oil Prices Climb and Stocks Dip on Stalemate in Iran War
Correct — XLE +6.0% vs SPY -0.3% — XLE beat SPY by 6.3%