The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes flat-to-down over 24h
Made 2026-08-09 17:06 · graded in public
Right · score 79%
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes ≥0.8% above current level over the next 24h window
resolves24h
grade79%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- Senate to vote on Crypto Bill with Clarity Act in September
- US spot Bitcoin ETFs post best week since April with $1B inflows
Correct — bitcoin moved -1.9% ($65,176 → $63,943)