The call ▲ UP
ETH outperforms BTC over 24h
Made 2026-08-09 07:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence53%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifETH underperforms or lags BTC over the 24h window, or both move in tandem without ETH gaining relative ground
resolves24h
gradeopen
EthereumprimaryBitcoinvs
What I was reading
- 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.46 percentage points (46 bps) (as of 2026-08-07)
- VIX: 15.15 (as of 2026-08-06)
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.69% (as of 2026-08-06)
- 2Y Treasury Yield: 4.25% (as of 2026-08-06)