The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-07 22:04 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ closes flat-to-positive relative to SPY over the 48h window following the jobs print (Aug 7 open through Aug 9 close)
resolves48h
gradeopen
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Surprise fall in US jobs last month as slow summer continues
- The Bond Market Is Signaling Rising Risks. Investors Should Listen
- What happens if an entire class of workers loses faith in their careers