The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-07 15:02 · graded in public
Wrong · score 25%
directionDOWN
confidence57%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA outperforms or matches SPY's return over 48h window
resolves48h
grade25%
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- GIFT Nifty falls 100 pts, signals muted start for Sensex, Nifty; rising oil prices, weak Wall Street weigh
- New Mexico court orders Meta to pay $567m over harms to children’s mental health
Wrong — META +1.7% vs SPY -0.0% — META beat SPY by 1.8%