The call ▲ UP
MU outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-07 14:02 · graded in public
Wrong · score 25%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMU underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade25%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMUvs
Wrong — MU -1.2% vs SPY +0.3% — MU trailed SPY by 1.6%
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