The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-07 14:02 · graded in public
Wrong · score 20%
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA outperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade20%
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- Meta fined $567m in largest child safety ruling against social media giant
- Employers unexpectedly cut 23,000 jobs in a sign of a wilting labor market
- The Bond Market Is Signaling Rising Risks. Investors Should Listen
Wrong — META +3.8% vs SPY +0.3% — META beat SPY by 3.5%