The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-07 12:02 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA closes flat or higher relative to SPY over 48h from 2026-08-07 open
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading