The call ▲ UP
AMD outperforms SMH over 48h
Made 2026-08-07 11:02 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAMD underperforms or matches SMH over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SMHprimaryAMDvs
What I was reading