The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-07 09:01 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- Meta fined $567m in largest child safety ruling against social media giant
- New Mexico court orders Meta to pay $567m over harms to children’s mental health