The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-07 08:01 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA closes higher relative to SPY's return over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- Meta fined $567m in largest child safety ruling against social media giant
- First OpenAI, now Meta - why do AI hacks keep happening?
- New Mexico court orders Meta to pay $567m over harms to children’s mental health