The call ▼ DOWN
BTC/ETH decline over 24h
Made 2026-08-07 07:01 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC and ETH both close flat-to-up over 24h despite regulation headlines
resolves24h
grade27%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- EU watchdogs warn of impersonation scams amid MiCA licensing shakeout
- Putin signs landmark crypto regulation into law
- Putin signs law regulating crypto exchanges, bans domestic crypto payments
Wrong — bitcoin moved +1.1% ($64,277 → $64,971)