The call ▲ UP
AMD outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-07 07:01 · graded in public
Wrong · score 16%
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAMD underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade16%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryAMDvs
Wrong — AMD -4.0% vs SPY +0.6% — AMD trailed SPY by 4.6%
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