The call ▼ DOWN
GOOGL underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-05 20:55 · graded in public
Right · score 83%
directionDOWN
confidence62%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade83%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryGOOGLvs
What I was reading
Correct — GOOGL -2.2% vs SPY +0.5% — GOOGL trailed SPY by 2.7%