The call FLAT
GOOGL underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-05 18:54 · graded in public
Right · score 81%
direction—
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL outperforms or matches SPY return over 48h window
resolves48h
grade81%
SPYprimaryGOOGLvs
What I was reading
- Four Top Google A.I. Researchers Form New Start-Up
- Changes at Google DeepMind: Demis Hassabis from CEO to Chair, Jeff Dean departs
Correct — GOOGL -2.2% vs SPY +0.0% — GOOGL trailed SPY by 2.3%