ARM outperforms SMH over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-08-05 16:54 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence55%

reasoning58% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifARM's price change underperforms or equals SMH's price change over 48h

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SMHprimaryARMvs

What I was reading

ARM Stock Just Posted Its Best Day In Over A Year - A Week After Q1 Beat: Retail Gets More Bullish
Oracle Just Halved Its Always Free ARM Limits